THE LAB

AI Creators vs. Human creators

Can AI-generated messengers engage young voters as well as real people for a fraction of the cost?
Cost/Produced Post
3.6x less
for AI vs. human UGC
Engagement
+13%
AI CTR vs. human creators
Delivery cost
+30%
higher CPM for AI

Why this matters

Creator video is one of the few formats that still earns attention from voters under 25. It is also slow to ship and expensive to produce, which puts it out of reach for most down-ballot campaigns. A human creator ad runs about $750 all in; the AI equivalent runs about $200.

In 2025 we ran a preliminary AI creative test in Wisconsin and found AI content held up in turning out voters when the underlying concept was strong. Video models have improved sharply since, and platforms now label AI content directly, so we re-ran the question within the new ecosystem context.

1

THE test

Five matched pairs of AI and human creator video

OUR HYPOTHESIS

AI messengers can now match or beat human creators at engaging young voters

WHAT WE TESTED

Each human creator video was paired with an AI version carrying the same message, built from that creator's asset so the avatars matched on demographics and delivery. Budget split 50/50 between arms, run separately on Facebook and Instagram.

We measured click-through rate, 3-second view rate, and cost efficiency through CPM and cost per click.

RACE

MI SD-35 special

TIMING

May 2026

AUDIENCE

Voters 18–24

PLATFORM

IG & FB

2

WHAT we found

ENGAGEMENT HELD UP; THE COST PREMIUM LIVED ON INSTAGRAM

AI matched or beat human CTR...

AI creative held attention just as well, too: hook rates were effectively identical on both platforms.

But AI cost more to deliver

Nearly all of the AI premium sits on Instagram. On Facebook, delivery costs were close to parity.

3

Key learnings

  • AI creative remains competitive on engagement. AI matched or beat human CTR in both tests (blended +13% MI, +4% WI), with significant engagement improvements on Facebook this year.
  • Better AI quality is holding attention longer. A year ago, AI video lost a third of its viewers on Facebook in the first three seconds. In Michigan the hook rate was effectively identical to human creators.
  • The premium is a platform tax, not a creative one. Same creative, same audience: CPMs ran 44% higher for AI on Instagram but near parity on Facebook.
  • Disclosure labels are driving up costs across platforms. Meta moved from “Digitally created” to a direct “AI info” label. That blunter callout lines up with increased CPM differentials across Facebook and Instagram since we last tested in Wisconsin.  
4

What we Recommend

AI content is highly viable on Facebook
With production costs included, AI on Facebook is the efficient buy. Instagram's CPM premium eats most of the savings.

Spend your time on the concept
Write and test the idea with a strong human asset, then generate from it. Matching a proven creator and strong messaging is what made these pairs work.

Budget a 30% cost premium on Instagram
Assume AI ads cost about a third more to serve. For Instagram, the savings live in production, not in media.

Test formats outside human replication
AI disclosure applies to all AI content, but the cost and engagement dynamics may differ when AI isn't depicting a specific person (B-roll, static, illustrated).

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